Insurance has always been at the forefront of exploration. From the Dutch East India Company insuring its fleet in 1613 to underwriting the first successful transatlantic flight by the Bremen aircraft in 1928, insurance fills in the gaps created by uncertainty.
Fast forward to 2024. The insurance industry is faced with an opportunity to do what it has always done: insure the future.
With the private sector’s new moon bases, luxury orbital hotels, and a future amongst the stars, the costs and risks of these pioneering endeavors are astronomical. Forward-thinking insurance product development will be required to help these projects become a reality.
HOW DID WE GET HERE?: FROM SPUTNIK TO SPACEX
A little under a decade after the historic launch of Sputnik in 1957, Lloyd’s of London wrote the first space insurance policy in 1965 for Intelsat 1, the first-ever commercial communications satellite.
Today, many space insurance policies still cover satellites, typically from launch through the end of the satellite’s operational life. Satellites, like those that enable the GPS on your phone, are part of what the industry calls the “space-for-Earth economy” (as opposed to its counterpart, the “space-for-space economy”).
Space-for-earth is broadly defined as any goods or services that originate in space but benefit life on Earth. This sector accounts for 95%1 of space insurance revenue, representing an annual premium revenue of about $450-850 million2 per year since 2010.
But the market is on the verge of disruption, primarily due to innovative work being done by SpaceX. Through advances in technology and engineering, the SpaceX team achieved a historic feat in April of 20163 when their first-stage booster returned to the launch site to be reused for future launches.
This moment marked a paradigm shift in the industry.
By making launches sustainable – and even profitable – the industry has taken a huge step towards addressing the challenge of scalability and ultimately expanding humanity’s reach in the cosmos.
That said, the proliferation of space activity also brings another growing challenge: space junk8. Collisions with debris can cause substantial damage or destruction of valuable assets, creating risks to operational satellites, space missions, and even the International Space Station (ISS). Robust insurance solutions must consider the rising risk associated with this ever-growing problem.
EMERGING PLAYERS, EXPANDING FRONTIERS
The World Economic Forum projects the space industry to grow by about 9% per year, and to reach a market size of about $1.8 trillion4 by 2035.
One notable example of the growing demand for insurance to support the space economy is the work being done by Starlink. In an effort to bring low-cost internet to remote or infrastructure-light areas around the world, Starlink is partnering with SpaceX to build a “mega constellation” by launching thousands of satellites into Earth’s orbit. Upon completion, the constellation is estimated to be a network of 42,000 satellites spanning the globe, working in tandem to provide high-speed internet anywhere with sky visibility. With a projected cost of $1.2 million for each satellite5, it’s easy to see how the risk portfolios and insurance premiums for these projects can balloon.
Beyond SpaceX, other private companies provide a glimpse of what a truly space-for-space market might look like. Each of their solutions requires unique insurance product development:
- Made In Space, Inc.1 aims to bring manufacturing to space using 3D printing technology. The company’s mission is to leverage the zero-gravity environment to improve the manufacturing process and potentially build infrastructure that would be impossible on Earth.
- Deep Space Industries1 set out in the 2010s to become a pioneer in asteroid mining. The mission was to provide raw materials acquired from asteroids and other celestial bodies to the broader space-for-space market. Though the nascent market never took hold, the idea still lives on.
INSURING GOVERNMENTS AND THE PRIVATE SECTOR
Recognizing the strategic importance of space, global superpowers also recognize the opportunities and challenges. In addition to economic opportunity, governments must contend with the military implications of a space-faring civilization.
In recent years, China and Russia have increased their counterspace capabilities to challenge the U.S.’s broad military reach and influence6. In response, the United States created the Space Force in late 2019 and has partnered with private companies to expand military capabilities via the Commercial Space Strategy7 initiative.
These private-/public-sector collaborations necessitate innovative insurance solutions to address any damages or liabilities arising from military space activities.
NEW HORIZONS REQUIRES NEW EXPERTISE
While the recent advancements in the space industry are promising, we’re still far from mass adoption. Most of the space industry is providing services for Earth’s inhabitants, so most of the risk is still in familiar territory.
However, if a true space-for-space market emerges encompassing manufacturing, tourism, mining, and more, the associated insurance products will require tailored solutions. Insurers, underwriters, and actuaries will need to revisit traditional assumptions to address the new challenges brought about by this demand.
What does a construction project in low earth orbit even look like? How will the threat of space debris and solar flares be accounted for in this expanding ecosystem? What are the effects of long-term exposure to the sun’s radiation outside of Earth’s protective magnetic field?
New data, models, and expertise will be required to address these novel risks.
INNOVATE OR GET LEFT BEHIND
The space industry is gaining momentum, fueled by groundbreaking technology and significant capital investments. As high-stakes space activities become an increasingly integral part of our global economy and strategic interests, the need for innovative insurance product development and risk management solutions will continue to grow.
Insurers and consulting firms looking to carve out a niche for themselves will be rewarded if they get ahead of the crowd, as the proper insurance solutions will enable the expanding space industry to continue to flourish for generations to come.
Contact the experts at Perr&Knight today to discuss innovative solutions for insurance product development.
REFERENCES
- Weinzierl, M. (2023, September 28). The commercial space age is here. Harvard Business Review. https://hbr.org/2021/02/the-commercial-space-age-is-here
- Zisk, Rachael (2022, October 31). The Space Insurance Landscape. https://payloadspace.com/the-space-insurance-landscape/
- Klotz, I. (2017, March 30). SpaceX successfully launches first recycled rocket booster. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/article/technology/spacex-successfully-launches-first-recycled-rocket-booster-idUSKBN1711JO/
- Space is booming. Here’s how to embrace the $1.8 trillion opportunity. (2024, September 10). World Economic Forum. https://www.weforum.org/stories/2024/04/space-economy-technology-invest-rocket-opportunity/#:~:text=1.,growth%20rate%20of%20global%20GDP
- Rosenberg, Z. (2024, September 5). Starlink soars: SpaceX’s satellite internet surprises analysts with $6.6 billion revenue projection. SpaceNews. https://spacenews.com/starlink-soars-spacexs-satellite-internet-surprises-analysts-with-6-6-billion-revenue-projection/
- U.S. Department of Defense. (n.d.). Space-Based capabilities critical to U.S. national Security, DOD Office. https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/2629675/space-based-capabilities-critical-to-us-national-security-dod-officials-say/
- Bellamy, D. (2024, September 25). Commercial space’s critical role in the race to outpace adversaries. SpaceNews. https://spacenews.com/commercial-spaces-critical-role-race-outpace-adversaries/
- Worthy, Mica Nguyen, et al. “The Current ‘Universe’ of Space Insurance.” Insurance Laws and Products – Insurance – United States, 21 Sept. 2023, www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/insurance-laws-and-products/1368560/the-current-universe-of-space-insurance/